Oversold

VELO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential89/ 100

VELO's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +31.5%, operating margin +62.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -101.9% of revenue. The business score is 64.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 167.9% upside, or about $31.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 34%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 88.7% downside, or about $1.31, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VELO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE2.6x13x80% lower
PE percentile1.25198% lower
EPS-$2.39-$623.67$621.28 higher
FCF-$58.7M-$73.8M+$15.2M
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VELO’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VELO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

VELO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

VELO PE Valuation

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This table applies VELO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VELO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VELO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VELO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VELO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VELO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VELO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VELO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VELO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VELO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VELO PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares VELO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VELO Weekly Price

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This chart uses VELO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VELO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VELO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VELO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.