Oversold

VIPS

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

VIPS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.2%, from $13.50 to $13.20. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -0.9%, operating margin -0.1 percentage points. The business score is 49.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 22.6% upside, or about $15.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 22%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 32.5% downside, or about $8.42, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VIPS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.2x10x60% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS$3.00$1.6384% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

VIPS’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

VIPS’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

VIPS PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies VIPS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks VIPS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks VIPS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks VIPS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VIPS Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in VIPS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VIPS Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares VIPS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VIPS Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses VIPS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares VIPS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VIPS Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.