Oversold

VLGEA

Valuation33/ 100
Cash flow & growth53/ 100
Upside potential23/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

VLGEA's valuation is somewhat elevated and fundamentals are above averages.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.5%, from $44.01 to $43.37.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 11.8× versus the full-history median of 9.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 38.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 32.5/100. The model applies a -0.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 10.5× PE and $4.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.2%, earnings -2.9%, operating margin -0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.4% of revenue. The business score is 52.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $4.09 of EPS and a 10.5× PE, suggesting about $43.11 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $49.88. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.84 of EPS and a 10.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $28.98 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VLGEA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x9.7x21% higher
PE percentile765051% higher
EPS$3.68$2.7235% higher
FCF$56.4M$39.2M44% higher
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VLGEA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

VLGEA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earnings--
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VLGEA PE Valuation

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This table applies VLGEA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VLGEA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VLGEA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VLGEA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VLGEA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VLGEA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VLGEA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VLGEA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VLGEA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VLGEA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VLGEA PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares VLGEA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VLGEA Weekly Price

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This chart uses VLGEA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VLGEA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VLGEA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VLGEA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.