Oversold

VNOM

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

VNOM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 14 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.5%, from $44.18 to $44.39. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +103%, operating margin -9.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.1% of revenue. The business score is 55.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.7% upside, or about $53.52.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 30.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 17.2% and the PE falls 15.7%. That gives $0.11 per share at a 290× PE, or about $31.22. Price swings alone suggest 27% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VNOM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE344x22x1,485% higher
PE percentile10050101% higher
EPS$0.13$1.2189% lower
FCF$198M-$154.8M+$352.8M
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VNOM’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

VNOM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

VNOM’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

VNOM PE Valuation

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This table applies VNOM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VNOM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VNOM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VNOM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VNOM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VNOM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VNOM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VNOM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VNOM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VNOM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VNOM PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares VNOM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VNOM Weekly Price

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This chart uses VNOM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VNOM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VNOM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VNOM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.