Oversold

VRA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

VRA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -13.4%, operating margin +8.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8.9% of revenue. The business score is 59.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 42.2% upside, or about $4.76.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 29.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.1% downside, or about $1.81, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE142x30x371% higher
PE percentile9950100% higher
EPS-$0.69-$0.71$0.02 higher
FCF$24.3M$8.3M192% higher
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VRA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

VRA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

VRA’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

VRA PE Valuation

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This table applies VRA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VRA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VRA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VRA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VRA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares VRA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRA Weekly Price

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This chart uses VRA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VRA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.