Oversold

VRDN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

VRDN's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +23220.3%, operating margin +121261.5 percentage points. The business score is 77/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 40% upside, or about $29.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 29%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 47.6% downside, or about $11.13, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRDN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$3.53-$9.54$6.01 higher
FCF-$335M-$156.3M-$178.7M
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VRDN’s earnings are above their historical averages.

VRDN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

VRDN’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

VRDN PE Valuation

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This table applies VRDN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRDN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VRDN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRDN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VRDN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRDN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VRDN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRDN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VRDN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRDN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRDN PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares VRDN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRDN Weekly Price

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This chart uses VRDN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRDN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VRDN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRDN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.