Oversold

VRNS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

VRNS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +15.6%, operating margin -2 percentage points. The business score is 53.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 22.9% upside, or about $55.45.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 50.8% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 36.9% and the PE falls 22.1%. That gives lower earnings at a lower valuation, or about the scenario price. Price swings alone suggest 42% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRNS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.22-$1.02$0.20 lower
FCF$121.9M$51.3M138% higher
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VRNS’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages.

VRNS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

VRNS’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

VRNS PE Valuation

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This table applies VRNS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRNS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VRNS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRNS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VRNS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRNS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VRNS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRNS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VRNS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRNS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRNS PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares VRNS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRNS Weekly Price

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This chart uses VRNS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRNS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VRNS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRNS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.