Oversold

VRRM

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential23/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

VRRM's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are below averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.3%, from $4.39 to $4.07. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 11.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.7× versus the full-history median of 44.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 91.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85.2/100. The model applies a -23.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 44.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 18× PE and $0.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +11.1%, earnings +8.3%, operating margin -2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9.6% of revenue. The business score is 58.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

A depressed valuation offers recovery potential if earnings stabilize. A recovery is not yet confirmed by operating results. Over the past year, revenue +11.1% and operating margin -2 percentage points.

This recovery case holds projected earnings at $0.20 per share. A 25.2× PE suggests $5.02, or 23.4% upside. The lower to middle historical valuation range sets the target, with typical price movements limiting the rebound. Peak profits and valuations are not required.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.16 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2.30 — 44% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRRM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x70x78% lower
PE percentile3.65093% lower
EPS$0.26$0.3629% lower
FCF$96.7M$141M31% lower
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VRRM’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VRRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

VRRM’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

VRRM PE Valuation

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This table applies VRRM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRRM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VRRM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRRM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VRRM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRRM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VRRM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRRM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VRRM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRRM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRRM PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares VRRM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRRM Weekly Price

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This chart uses VRRM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRRM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VRRM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRRM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.