Oversold

VTMX

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

VTMX's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.3%, from $33.93 to $34.70. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +10.9%, operating margin +68 percentage points. The business score is 70.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 16.6% upside, or about $39.15.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 24.4% downside, or about $25.39, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VTMX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.3x53x86% lower
PE percentile685035% higher
EPS$4.60$10.1154% lower
FCF$135.4M$135.2M0% higher
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VTMX’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VTMX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

VTMX’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

VTMX PE Valuation

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This table applies VTMX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VTMX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VTMX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VTMX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VTMX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VTMX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VTMX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VTMX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VTMX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VTMX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VTMX PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares VTMX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VTMX Weekly Price

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This chart uses VTMX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VTMX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VTMX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VTMX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.