Oversold

VVV

Same as last week
Valuation9/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

VVV's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 41.3× versus the full-history median of 15.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 9.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 8.8/100. The model applies a 6.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 36.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 41.3× PE and $0.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +16.1%, earnings -65.1%, operating margin -8.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6.9% of revenue. The business score is 43.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.86 of EPS and a 41.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $35.33. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 15.6% upside, or about $35.32.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.62 of EPS and a 34.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $21.56 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VVV vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE41x26x60% higher
PE percentile795058% higher
EPS$0.74$2.9375% lower
FCF$135.3M$68.9M96% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

VVV’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

VVV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

VVV’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

VVV PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies VVV's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VVV Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks VVV's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VVV Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks VVV's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VVV Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks VVV's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VVV Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in VVV's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VVV Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VVV PE vs Energy Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares VVV's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VVV Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses VVV's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VVV Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares VVV's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VVV Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.