Oversold

WPM

Same as last week
Valuation61/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

WPM's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 34.2× versus the full-history median of 38.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 58.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 61/100. The model applies a 17% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 42.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 41× PE and $5.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +90.8%, earnings +160.7%, operating margin +17.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is -92.2% of revenue. The business score is 72.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $5.72 of EPS and a 41× PE, suggesting a share price of about $234.55. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 52.2% upside, or about $234.57.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.81 of EPS and a 30.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $114.66 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WPM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE34x67x49% lower
PE percentile425016% lower
EPS$4.51$1.58186% higher
FCF-$2.9B$455.7M742% lower
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WPM’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

WPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

WPM’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

WPM PE Valuation

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This table applies WPM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WPM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks WPM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WPM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks WPM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WPM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks WPM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WPM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in WPM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WPM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WPM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares WPM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WPM Weekly Price

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This chart uses WPM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WPM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares WPM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WPM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.