Oversold

XPOF

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential60/ 100

XPOF's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -9.1%, operating margin +32.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -3.1% of revenue. The business score is 56/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 57% upside, or about $7.71.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 50.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 60.2% downside, or about $1.95, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

XPOF vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE34x72x53% lower
PE percentile255050% lower
EPS-$1.47-$0.88$0.59 lower
FCF-$8.9M$15.7M157% lower
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XPOF’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

XPOF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

XPOF’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

XPOF PE Valuation

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This table applies XPOF's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

XPOF Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks XPOF's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

XPOF Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks XPOF's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

XPOF Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks XPOF's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

XPOF Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in XPOF's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

XPOF Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

XPOF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares XPOF's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

XPOF Weekly Price

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This chart uses XPOF's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

XPOF Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares XPOF's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

XPOF Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.