Oversold

XYZ

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

XYZ's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score fell 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.0%, from $83.57 to $82.76.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +5.1%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 19.2% of revenue. The business score is 67.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 36.3% upside, or about $107.96.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 39.4% downside, or about $48.00, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

XYZ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE141x153x8% lower
PE percentile595018% higher
EPS$0.56$1.1652% lower
FCF$4.8B$778M519% higher
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XYZ’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

XYZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

XYZ’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

XYZ PE Valuation

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This table applies XYZ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

XYZ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks XYZ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

XYZ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks XYZ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

XYZ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks XYZ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

XYZ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in XYZ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

XYZ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

XYZ PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares XYZ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

XYZ Weekly Price

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This chart uses XYZ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

XYZ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares XYZ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

XYZ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.