Oversold

YMM

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

YMM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.8%, from $8.81 to $8.65. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 13.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.2%, earnings +206.6%, operating margin +1.1 percentage points. The business score is 63.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 26.3% upside, or about $10.32.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 33.2% downside, or about $5.46, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

YMM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE34x259x87% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS$0.24$0.008,514% higher
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YMM’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

YMM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

YMM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

YMM PE Valuation

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This table applies YMM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

YMM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks YMM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

YMM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks YMM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

YMM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks YMM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

YMM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in YMM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

YMM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

YMM PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares YMM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

YMM Weekly Price

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This chart uses YMM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

YMM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares YMM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

YMM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.