Oversold

ZIP

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

ZIP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.5%, from $4.42 to $4.22. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.4%, operating margin +6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.1% of revenue. The business score is 63.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 50.7% upside, or about $6.36.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 26.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 51.9% downside, or about $2.03, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ZIP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x61x80% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$0.35$0.2072% higher
FCF$13.8M$82.7M83% lower
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ZIP’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ZIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ZIP’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

ZIP PE Valuation

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This table applies ZIP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ZIP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ZIP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ZIP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ZIP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ZIP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ZIP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ZIP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ZIP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ZIP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ZIP PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares ZIP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ZIP Weekly Price

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This chart uses ZIP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ZIP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ZIP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ZIP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.