Oversold

AEP

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth72/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AEP's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.7%, operating margin +2.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 39.8% of revenue. The business score is 72.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $141.83. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 17.2% downside, or about $102.12, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AEP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE21x18x22% higher
PE percentile995099% higher
EPS$5.78$5.0215% higher
FCF$9B-$479.6M+$9.4B
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AEP’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AEP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AEP’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AEP PE Valuation

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This table applies AEP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AEP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AEP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AEP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AEP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AEP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AEP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AEP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AEP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AEP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AEP PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares AEP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AEP Weekly Price

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This chart uses AEP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AEP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AEP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AEP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.