Oversold

TRX

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

TRX's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +121.6%, operating margin +29.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.5% of revenue. The business score is 77.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.7% upside, or about $1.51.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 38.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 43.7% downside, or about $0.65, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TRX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE324x257x26% higher
PE percentile595018% higher
EPS-$0.07-$0.02$0.05 lower
FCF$1.5M-$4.9M+$6.4M
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TRX’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

TRX’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

TRX PE Valuation

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This table applies TRX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TRX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TRX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TRX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TRX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TRX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TRX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TRX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TRX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TRX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TRX PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares TRX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TRX Weekly Price

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This chart uses TRX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TRX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TRX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TRX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.