Oversold

TWLO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth84/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

TWLO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17.8%, earnings +5938.7%, operating margin +4.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 19.9% of revenue. The business score is 83.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $313.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 39.8% downside, or about $136.86, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TWLO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE32x457x93% lower
PE percentile1.85196% lower
EPS$7.18-$3.62$10.80 higher
FCF$1.1B$246.4M350% higher
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TWLO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages.

TWLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

TWLO’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

TWLO PE Valuation

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This table applies TWLO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TWLO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TWLO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TWLO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TWLO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TWLO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TWLO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TWLO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TWLO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TWLO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TWLO PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares TWLO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TWLO Weekly Price

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This chart uses TWLO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TWLO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TWLO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TWLO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.