Oversold

VICI

Valuation60/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VICI's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.7%, from $25.87 to $25.42. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 9.6× versus the full-history median of 11.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 64.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 60/100. The model applies a 3.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.1× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.4%, earnings -1.1%, operating margin -4 percentage points. The business score is 43.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $28.55. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 16.7% downside, or about $20.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VICI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE9.6x14x30% lower
PE percentile45092% lower
EPS$2.58$2.0625% higher
FCF$2.6B$2.1B28% higher
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VICI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VICI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

VICI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

VICI PE Valuation

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This table applies VICI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VICI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VICI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VICI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VICI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VICI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VICI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VICI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VICI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VICI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VICI PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares VICI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VICI Weekly Price

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This chart uses VICI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VICI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VICI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VICI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.