Oversold

CNC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

CNC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.7%, operating margin -3.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.6% of revenue. The business score is 49.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 21.2% upside, or about $80.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 31.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 38.2% downside, or about $41.05, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CNC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.4x23x64% lower
PE percentile5.65089% lower
EPS-$10.44$1.78688% lower
FCF$9B$4.3B109% higher
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CNC’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CNC’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

CNC PE Valuation

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This table applies CNC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CNC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CNC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CNC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CNC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CNC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CNC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CNC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CNC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CNC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CNC PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares CNC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CNC Weekly Price

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This chart uses CNC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CNC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CNC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CNC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.