Oversold

EXE

Valuation37/ 100
Cash flow & growth92/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

EXE's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages, but a weakening outlook adds pressure, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.3%, from $98.16 to $97.91.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 3.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 8.2× versus the full-history median of 7.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 40.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 37.2/100. The model applies a 4.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 9.4× PE and $13.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +56.8%, earnings +2866.7%, operating margin +20.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 19% of revenue. The business score is 92/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $13.10 of EPS and a 9.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $122.90 — 29% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $9.69 of EPS and a 6.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $66.95 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EXE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.2x26x68% lower
PE percentile555010% higher
EPS$11.57-$116.00$127.57 higher
FCF$2.5B$1.1B136% higher
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EXE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

EXE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

EXE’s outlook is weakening, with declining sales expectations a concern.

EXE PE Valuation

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This table applies EXE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EXE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks EXE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EXE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks EXE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EXE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks EXE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EXE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in EXE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EXE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EXE PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares EXE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EXE Weekly Price

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This chart uses EXE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EXE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares EXE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EXE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.