Oversold

MA

Same as last week
Valuation64/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 31.3× versus the full-history median of 37.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 62/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 64.3/100. The model applies a 16.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 36.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 34.3× PE and $22.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16%, earnings +22.6%, operating margin +2.1 percentage points. The business score is 68.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $22.67 of EPS and a 34.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $777.01. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 36.5% upside, or about $776.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $15.85 of EPS and a 29.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $474.75 — 17% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE31x39x19% lower
PE percentile125076% lower
EPS$18.18$11.1164% higher
FCF$16.4B$11.3B45% higher
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MA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

MA’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

MA PE Valuation

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This table applies MA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MA PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares MA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MA Weekly Price

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This chart uses MA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.