Oversold

NEM

Same as last week
Valuation51/ 100
Cash flow & growth87/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

NEM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16× versus the full-history median of 15.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 47.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 51/100. The model applies a 18.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16.1× PE and $10.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +10.3%, earnings +42.5%, operating margin +13.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 56.5% of revenue. The business score is 87/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $10.20 of EPS and a 16.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $164.12. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 29.4% upside, or about $164.09.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.76 of EPS and a 12.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $83.44 — 34% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NEM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x20x20% lower
PE percentile555010% higher
EPS$7.94$1.98301% higher
FCF$12.8B$3.1B309% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

NEM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NEM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NEM PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NEM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NEM Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NEM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NEM Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NEM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NEM Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NEM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NEM Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NEM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NEM Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NEM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NEM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NEM Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NEM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NEM Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NEM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NEM Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.