Oversold

EQT

Same as last week
Valuation64/ 100
Cash flow & growth90/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

EQT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 11.9× versus the full-history median of 17.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 74.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 63.8/100. The model applies a -8.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 18.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14× PE and $4.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16%, earnings +145.4%, operating margin +16.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 40.6% of revenue. The business score is 90.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.66 of EPS and a 14× PE, suggesting a share price of about $65.20. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.6% upside, or about $65.21.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.17 of EPS and a 8.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $28.22 — 48% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EQT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x26x54% lower
PE percentile47506% lower
EPS$4.54$0.411,018% higher
FCF$3.8B$1.4B167% higher
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EQT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

EQT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

EQT’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

EQT PE Valuation

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This table applies EQT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EQT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks EQT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EQT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks EQT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EQT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks EQT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EQT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in EQT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EQT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EQT PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares EQT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EQT Weekly Price

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This chart uses EQT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EQT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares EQT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EQT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.