Oversold

OXY

Valuation73/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

OXY's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook is broadly stable, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.6%, from $59.10 to $60.04.

Valuation and price changes added 6.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 9.4× versus the full-history median of 12.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 68.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 72.6/100. The model applies a 25.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 10.9× PE and $8.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue -7.1%, earnings +282.4%, operating margin +3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 21.1% of revenue. The business score is 68.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $8.83 of EPS and a 10.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $95.94 — 56% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.52 of EPS and a 8.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $49.11 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

OXY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE9.5x15x37% lower
PE percentile295041% lower
EPS$6.50$1.11486% higher
FCF$5.3B$6.4B17% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

OXY’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

OXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

OXY’s outlook is generally stable, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

OXY PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies OXY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

OXY Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks OXY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

OXY Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks OXY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

OXY Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks OXY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

OXY Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in OXY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

OXY Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

OXY PE vs Energy Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares OXY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

OXY Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses OXY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

OXY Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares OXY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

OXY Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.