Oversold

EOG

Valuation44/ 100
Cash flow & growth86/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

EOG's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.3%, from $143.35 to $145.19. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 11.5× versus the full-history median of 10.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 43.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 44.4/100. The model applies a 12.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 11.1× PE and $15.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17.8%, earnings +24.9%, operating margin +7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 25.1% of revenue. The business score is 85.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $15.56 of EPS and a 11.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $173.12. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 17.5% upside, or about $173.15.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.92 of EPS and a 9.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $105.05 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EOG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x36x68% lower
PE percentile665031% higher
EPS$12.85$9.0442% higher
FCF$6.7B$4.7B43% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

EOG’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

EOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

EOG’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

EOG PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies EOG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EOG Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks EOG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EOG Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks EOG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EOG Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks EOG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EOG Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in EOG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EOG Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EOG PE vs Energy Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares EOG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EOG Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses EOG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EOG Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares EOG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EOG Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.