Oversold

TXN

Same as last week
Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth79/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

TXN's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 40.8× versus the full-history median of 22.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 18/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 24.8/100. The model applies a 34.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 32.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 37.1× PE and $9.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16.7%, earnings +20.5%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 27.5% of revenue. The business score is 79.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $9.55 of EPS and a 37.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $354.13. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 31.8% upside, or about $354.15.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.77 of EPS and a 32.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $188.67 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TXN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE41x26x60% higher
PE percentile935086% higher
EPS$6.58$6.996% lower
FCF$5.4B$3.8B41% higher
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TXN’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

TXN’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

TXN PE Valuation

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This table applies TXN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TXN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TXN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TXN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TXN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TXN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TXN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TXN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TXN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TXN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TXN PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares TXN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TXN Weekly Price

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This chart uses TXN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TXN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TXN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TXN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.