Oversold

CCL

Valuation74/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CCL's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 5.0%, from $24.76 to $23.51.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.3× versus the full-history median of 14.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 72.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 73.8/100. The model applies a 14.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 12.8× PE and $2.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.2%, earnings +24%, operating margin +0.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.7% of revenue. The business score is 64.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.73 of EPS and a 12.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $34.79. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 52.9% upside, or about $34.78.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.92 of EPS and a 9.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $18.48 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CCL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x17x39% lower
PE percentile155071% lower
EPS$2.30-$3.85$6.15 higher
FCF$3.2B-$3B+$6.2B
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CCL’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

CCL’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

CCL PE Valuation

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This table applies CCL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CCL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CCL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CCL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CCL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CCL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CCL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CCL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CCL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CCL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CCL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares CCL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CCL Weekly Price

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This chart uses CCL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CCL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CCL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CCL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.