Oversold

CTVA

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

CTVA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook is broadly stable.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.7%, from $83.90 to $87.86. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3.7%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.5% of revenue. The business score is 60.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $96.48. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 24.9% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 13.9% and the PE falls 12.7%. That gives $1.30 per share at a 48.5× PE, or about $63.03. Price swings alone suggest 23.5% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CTVA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE56x39x42% higher
PE percentile925083% higher
EPS$1.51$1.553% lower
FCF$629M$1.4B56% lower
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CTVA’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CTVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CTVA’s outlook is generally stable.

CTVA PE Valuation

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This table applies CTVA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CTVA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CTVA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CTVA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CTVA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CTVA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CTVA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CTVA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CTVA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CTVA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CTVA PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares CTVA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CTVA Weekly Price

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This chart uses CTVA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CTVA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CTVA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CTVA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.