Oversold

DOW

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

DOW's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -1.2%, operating margin -2.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.1% of revenue. The business score is 44.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.1% upside, or about $34.57.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 31.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 19% and the PE falls 15.2%. That gives $0.35 per share at a 57.6× PE, or about $19.94. Price swings alone suggest 29.9% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DOW vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE68x21x229% higher
PE percentile975094% higher
EPS-$1.82$2.41175% lower
FCF$436M$2.6B83% lower
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DOW’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

DOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

DOW’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

DOW PE Valuation

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This table applies DOW's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DOW Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks DOW's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DOW Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks DOW's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DOW Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks DOW's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DOW Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in DOW's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DOW Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DOW PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares DOW's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DOW Weekly Price

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This chart uses DOW's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DOW Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares DOW's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DOW Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.