Oversold

GIS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GIS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.4%, operating margin +3.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8.8% of revenue. The business score is 58.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $41.23. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 28.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 17.7% and the PE falls 12.9%. That gives $3.35 per share at a 7.7× PE, or about $25.70. Price swings alone suggest 19.5% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GIS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.8x13x33% lower
PE percentile5.95088% lower
EPS-$0.18$4.29104% lower
FCF$1.6B$2.4B33% lower
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GIS’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

GIS’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

GIS PE Valuation

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This table applies GIS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GIS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GIS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GIS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GIS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GIS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GIS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GIS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GIS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GIS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GIS PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares GIS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GIS Weekly Price

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This chart uses GIS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GIS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GIS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GIS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.