Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.8× versus the full-history median of 15.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 38.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 42.2/100. The model applies a 16.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.6× PE and $2.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.6%, earnings -10.7%, operating margin -1.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.7% of revenue. The business score is 47.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.40 of EPS and a 17.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $42.30. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 18% upside, or about $42.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.66 of EPS and a 14.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $24.64 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.